BIX ARTICLE

Malaysia Bond and Sukuk: Quarterly Report 4Q2024


Featured Posts

SRI Sukuk: The Journey Towards Sustainable and Responsible Investment

Jul 23, 2020

|

5 min read

Securities Commission's Capital Market Masterplan 3 (CMP3)

Sep 21, 2021

|

2 min read

What If We Allowed Retail Investors to Directly Invest in Malaysia’s Government Bond?

Aug 24, 2021

|

8 min read

Islamic Bonds Come Under Microscope After Garuda Indonesia Default

Aug 19, 2021

|

8 min read

BIX Malaysia - Quarterly Report 4Q 2024

4Q2024 – Malaysia's Bond and Sukuk market is showing substantial growth in 2024 with outstanding of RM2.10 trillion.
Malaysia's bond and sukuk market outstanding for year 2024 is RM2.10 trillion compared to RM2.00 trillion in 2023. During 2024, local yields were mixed even with the Fed's third rate cut of the year that reduces the Fed’s target rate to between 4.25% and 4.5% in December’24, with reductions in borrowing costs now hinge on further progress in lowering stubbornly high inflation, remarks that showed policymakers are starting to reckon with the prospects for sweeping economic changes under a Trump administration.

GLOBAL MARKET
Overview

US Treasury 3-year yields increased by 69 bps q-o-q while the benchmark 10-year yields expanded by 77 bps q-o-q. The central bank's rate outlook included only two cuts in 2025, rather than the four previously penciled in, catching investors off guard, and sending stocks tumbling while driving up yields and the dollar.


MY Government Bond
Overview

The MGS yields increased with 3-year up by 15 bps and 10-year surged by 11 bps q-o-q. The GII also raised by 2 bps for the 3-year and up by 8 bps for the 10-year q-o-q. The yields movements largely attributed to a softer-than-expected US core PCE reading, which introduced uncertainty around US inflation conditions. Domestically, a stable inflation rate of 1.8% maintained investor confidence, providing support to local yields.



MY Corporate Bond & Sukuk
Overview

The AAA-rated corporate bond and Sukuk yields also expanded throughout the fourth quarter of 2024. The yields rose by 10 bps for 3-year, 15 bps for 5-year, 11 bps for 7-year and 8 bps for 10-year based on q-o-q.







 

4Q24 Market Overview


 

GOVERNMENT BOND AUCTION
Overview
 
The government bond auction for 4Q24 garnered an average BTC of 1.991x, dropped from the previous quarter (3Q24: 2.318x). A reopening of MGS 4/39 received the highest BTC at 2.672x. The new/reopening issuances for MGS/GII stood at RM 33.50 billion (3Q24: RM 42.00 billion). 

Throughout 2024, the outstanding amount of MGS/GII stood at RM1,204.64 billion (3Q24: RM1,193.64 billion).  Government sukuk issuances in Malaysia improved in the second half of the year after recording a less active trend in the first half. 

4Q24 AUCTION
4Q24 Government Bond Auction
Source BNM and BIX Malaysia
 
For the upcoming 1Q25, there will be zero (0) new issue and five (5) reopening of MGS. For GII there will be three (3) reopening and two (2) new issues, totalling to eight (8) reopening and two (2) new issues.

UPCOMING ISSUANCE 1Q25
4Q24 Government Bond Upcoming Issuance
Source BNM and BIX Malaysia
 

FOREIGN HOLDINGS OF MGS AND GII
Overview 

The foreign net flow to MGS and GII in 4Q24 amounted to – RM1.05billion, – RM1.78billion and – RM1.96 billion respectively in October, November and December as foreign investors turned net seller. As of December 2024, the total foreign holdings of MGS and GII stood at RM254.92 billion (September 2024: RM269.22 billion), 5.31% decrease from the previous quarter. 

4Q24 Foreign Holdings of MGS and GII
Source BNM

4Q24 Cumulative  Net Foreign Flow to MGS and GII
Source BNM

CORPORATE BOND & SUKUK
Overview 
RM48.57 billion corporate bonds and sukuk were issued in 4Q24 (3Q24: RM49.57 billion), 2.02% decrease from the previous quarter. The AA2/AA/P1/M1-rated bonds and sukuk were the most issued at RM14.38 billion issuances, followed by non-rated bonds at RM13.99 billion issuances.

For 4Q24, the largest corporate issuances were issued by PRASARANA MALAYSIA BERHAD, PRASARANA IMTN 4.090% 07.10.2044 (Series 20) of RM1.10 billion.

ISSUANCE 4Q24

4Q24 Corporate Bond Issuance

RATING OUTLOOK
 
There was zero (0) default and one (1) downgraded recorded in 4Q24. However, there are eight (8) upgraded bonds/sukuk in this quarter.

⬆️ Upgrade
  1. Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad
  2. Edra Power Holdings Sdn Bhd
  3. Hong Leong Assurance Berhad
  4. Bank of China (Malaysia) Berhad
  5. UEM Edgenta Berhad
  6. Samalaju Industrial Port Sdn Bhd
  7. Bintulu Port Holdings Berhad
  8. Point Zone (M) Sdn Bhd
⬇️ Downgrade
  1. Tan Chong Motor Holdings Berhad
 

4Q24 Rating Movements
Source: MARC, RAM and BIX Malaysia


BOND STATISTICS
Overview 

Outstanding Amount by Bond Classes
 

As of December 2024, the outstanding amount of the Malaysian bond market stood at RM2.098 trillion, increased by 0.77% compared to the end of 3Q24 (September 2024: RM2.082 trillion). The largest outstanding bonds were from government issuances which consist of 58.13% of total issuances at RM1.220 trillion, followed by corporate issuances of 25.62% at RM537.60 billion, and Quasi-government issuances of 16.24% at RM340.81 billion.

4Q24 Outstanding Amount by Bond Class
Source: BNM and BIX Malaysia
 
BOND STATISTICS
Overview 

Outstanding Amount by Principal and Bond Classes
 
As of December 2024, the outstanding amount of the Government conventional bond and the Government Islamic Bond (Sukuk) stood at RM638.83 billion and RM580.80 billion respectively. The conventional Quasi-govt outstanding amount stood at RM20.65 billion, much smaller compared to its Islamic counterpart that stood at RM320.15 billion. For corporate issuances, the conventional bond outstanding amounted RM114.22 billion while the corporate Sukuk was recorded higher at RM423.38 billion.

4Q24 Outstanding Amount by Principal and Bond Classes
Source: BNM and BIX Malaysia

Download Report

Disclaimer

This report has been prepared and issued by Bond and Sukuk Information Platform Sdn Bhd (“the Company”). The information provided in this report is of a general nature and has been prepared for information purposes only. It is not intended to constitute research or as advice for any investor. The information in this report is not and should not be construed or considered as an offer, recommendation or solicitation for investments. Investors are advised to make their own independent evaluation of the information contained in this report, consider their own individual investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs and should seek appropriate personalized financial advice from a qualified professional to suit individual circumstances and risk profile.

 The information contained in this report is prepared from data believed to be correct and reliable at the time of issuance of this report. While every effort is made to ensure the information is up-to-date and correct, the Company does not make any guarantee, representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the adequacy, accuracy, completeness, reliability or fairness of any such information contained in this report and accordingly, neither the Company nor any of its affiliates nor its related persons shall not be liable in any manner whatsoever for any consequences (including but not limited to any direct, indirect or consequential losses, loss of profits and damages) of any reliance thereon or usage thereof.