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Embargo : Not for publication or broadcast before 1500 on Wednesday, 9 July 2025
9 Jul 2025

At its meeting today, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of Bank Negara Malaysia decided to reduce the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) by 25 basis points to 2.75%. The ceiling and floor rates of the corridor of the OPR are correspondingly reduced to 3% and 2.5% respectively.

The latest indicators point towards continued expansion in global growth, supported by sustained consumer spending and to some extent, front-loading activities. The global growth outlook would remain supported by positive labour market conditions, less restrictive monetary policy and fiscal stimulus. This outlook is weighed down by uncertainties surrounding tariff developments, as well as geopolitical tensions. Such uncertainties could also lead to greater volatility in the global financial markets and commodity prices.

For Malaysia, the latest developments point towards continued growth in economic activity in the second quarter, underpinned by sustained domestic demand and export growth. Moving forward, growth is expected to be supported by resilient domestic demand. Employment and wage growth, particularly within domestic-oriented sectors, as well as income-related policy measures, will support household spending. The expansion in investment activity will be sustained by the progress of multi-year projects in both the private and public sectors, the continued high realisation of approved investments, as well as the ongoing implementation of catalytic initiatives under the national master plans. Favourable trade negotiation outcomes, pro-growth policies in major economies, continued demand for electrical and electronic goods, and robust tourism activity could raise Malaysia’s export prospects. However, the balance of risks to the growth outlook remains tilted to the downside, stemming mainly from a slower global trade, weaker sentiment, as well as lower-than-expected commodity production.

Headline and core inflation averaged 1.4% and 1.9% in the first five months of the year respectively. Overall, inflation in 2025 is expected to remain moderate, amid contained global cost conditions and the absence of excessive domestic demand pressures. Inflationary pressure from global commodity prices is expected to remain limited, contributing to moderate domestic cost conditions. In this environment, the overall impact of the announced and upcoming domestic policy reforms on inflation is expected to be contained.

The ringgit performance will continue to be primarily driven by external factors. Malaysia's favourable economic prospects and domestic structural reforms, complemented by ongoing initiatives to encourage flows, will continue to provide enduring support to the ringgit.

While the domestic economy is on a strong footing, uncertainties surrounding external developments could affect Malaysia’s growth prospects. The reduction in the OPR is, therefore, a pre-emptive measure aimed at preserving Malaysia’s steady growth path amid moderate inflation prospects. The MPC will continue to remain vigilant to ongoing developments and assess the balance of risks surrounding the outlook for domestic growth and inflation.

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The information provided in this report is of a general nature and has been prepared for information purposes only. It is not intended to constitute research or as advice for any investor. The information in this report is not and should not be construed or considered as an offer, recommendation or solicitation for investments. Investors are advised to make their own independent evaluation of the information contained in this report, consider their own individual investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs and should seek appropriate personalised financial advice from a qualified professional to suit individual circumstances and risk profile. The information contained in this report is prepared from data believed to be correct and reliable at the time of issuance of this report. While every effort is made to ensure the information is up-to-date and correct, Bond and Sukuk Information Platform Sdn Bhd (“the Company”) does not make any guarantee, representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the adequacy, accuracy, completeness, reliability or fairness of any such information contained in this report and accordingly, neither the Company nor any of its affiliates nor its related persons shall not be liable in any manner whatsoever for any consequences (including but not limited to any direct, indirect or consequential losses, loss of profits and damages) of any reliance thereon or usage thereof.

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Monetary Policy Statement

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